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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-2 | 1-5 | 15-24 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 15-12 | 1-3 | 1-6 | 7-34 | | in all games | 1-5 | 12-17 | 81-109 | 1-6 | 15-15 | 55-60 | 2-6 | 16-17 | 80-123 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 4-5 | 23-24 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 20-25 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 8-8 | 40-46 | 1-1 | 9-7 | 30-27 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 23-63 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 27-28 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 22-31 | | in all lined games | 1-5 | 12-17 | 81-109 | 1-6 | 15-15 | 55-60 | 1-6 | 13-17 | 70-123 | | as an underdog | 1-3 | 5-8 | 53-69 | 1-4 | 9-5 | 39-35 | 1-4 | 4-10 | 24-99 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-8 | | in road games | 0-2 | 6-5 | 41-41 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 21-30 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 28-55 | | in road lined games | 0-2 | 6-5 | 41-41 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 21-30 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 28-55 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 0-6 | 4-15 | | in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 1-8 | | against conference opponents | 1-4 | 11-10 | 62-78 | 1-5 | 11-11 | 40-42 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 48-93 | | when playing on a Saturday | 1-5 | 12-16 | 80-103 | 1-6 | 14-15 | 52-57 | 2-6 | 16-16 | 78-118 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-3 | 11-12 | 66-86 | 1-4 | 11-13 | 41-50 | 2-4 | 16-11 | 63-97 | | after playing a conference game | 1-3 | 8-11 | 61-74 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 37-44 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 52-86 | | in games played on turf | 1-3 | 8-12 | 50-83 | 1-3 | 11-9 | 39-34 | 2-3 | 13-10 | 58-87 | | in November games | 0-0 | 4-3 | 27-28 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 22-31 |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-1 | 2-6 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 15-7 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 19-13 | | in all games | 4-5 | 15-16 | 98-98 | 6-3 | 18-14 | 65-47 | 5-4 | 13-21 | 93-117 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-2 | 2-3 | 20-23 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 15-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 20-25 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-0 | 3-1 | 21-15 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 24-12 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 23-32 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 22-10 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 16-39 | | in all lined games | 4-5 | 15-16 | 98-98 | 6-3 | 18-14 | 65-47 | 5-4 | 12-20 | 82-115 | | as a favorite | 3-2 | 5-8 | 44-37 | 3-2 | 7-6 | 27-22 | 4-1 | 8-5 | 58-23 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 2-1 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 8-6 | | in home games | 3-2 | 7-9 | 50-48 | 4-1 | 11-6 | 36-18 | 3-2 | 8-11 | 62-50 | | in home lined games | 3-2 | 7-9 | 50-48 | 4-1 | 11-6 | 36-18 | 3-2 | 7-10 | 51-48 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 7-15 | 3-1 | 4-2 | 16-5 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 8-14 | | in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4-9 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 10-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5-8 | | against conference opponents | 3-3 | 12-9 | 67-74 | 5-1 | 12-10 | 51-35 | 3-3 | 6-16 | 46-96 | | when playing on a Saturday | 4-5 | 15-15 | 92-90 | 6-3 | 17-14 | 58-40 | 5-4 | 13-20 | 86-110 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-4 | 14-12 | 78-79 | 6-2 | 15-12 | 52-34 | 4-4 | 10-19 | 71-97 | | after playing a conference game | 2-3 | 10-9 | 62-71 | 4-1 | 10-9 | 49-33 | 2-3 | 5-15 | 51-89 | | in games played on turf | 3-3 | 9-10 | 66-66 | 4-2 | 12-8 | 45-30 | 4-2 | 10-12 | 74-72 | | in November games | 0-0 | 3-4 | 23-32 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 22-10 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 16-39 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 2-6 | -6.2 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 18.9 | 6.4 | 371.6 | (5.5) | 1.7 | 25.9 | 12.5 | 411.0 | (6.1) | 1.5 | | Road Games | 0-4 | -6.4 | 0-3 | 0-4 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 315.0 | (4.5) | 2.2 | 29.5 | 15.7 | 407.0 | (6.1) | 0.7 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -0.5 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 421.7 | (6.1) | 1.3 | 21.3 | 15.7 | 415.0 | (6.2) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 2-2 | +0.2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 28.5 | 8.5 | 428.2 | (6.5) | 1.2 | 22.2 | 9.2 | 415.0 | (6.1) | 2.2 | | Conference Games | 1-5 | -3.6 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 350.0 | (5.2) | 1.7 | 25.5 | 14.0 | 408.0 | (6.2) | 1.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 18.9 | 6.4 | 18.6 | 28:54 | 39-197 | (5) | 15-28 | 55.2% | 174 | (6.2) | 67-372 | (5.5) | (19.7) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 24.1 | 12.1 | 19 | 31:32 | 37-155 | (4.2) | 18-31 | 58.8% | 205 | (6.7) | 68-360 | (5.3) | (14.9) | | Offense Road Games | 9.2 | 4.2 | 18.0 | 29:18 | 37-139 | (3.8) | 18-32 | 56.2% | 176 | (5.4) | 69-315 | (4.5) | (34.1) | | Defense (All Games) | 25.9 | 12.5 | 20.6 | 31:05 | 38-176 | (4.7) | 18-30 | 61.8% | 235 | (7.9) | 67-411 | (6.1) | (15.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.7 | 14.4 | 19.9 | 29:28 | 34-142 | (4.2) | 20-34 | 58.3% | 247 | (7.2) | 68-388 | (5.7) | (14.5) | | Defense Road Games | 29.5 | 15.7 | 21.0 | 30:42 | 38-180 | (4.7) | 18-28 | 64.3% | 226 | (8.1) | 66-407 | (6.1) | (13.8) |
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| All Games | 5-4 | +1.2 | 4-5 | 6-3 | 23.4 | 10.3 | 316.3 | (5.3) | 2.2 | 26.1 | 11.9 | 402.2 | (5.6) | 1.9 | | Home Games | 3-2 | +1.2 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 29.2 | 13.0 | 342.2 | (5.9) | 2.4 | 26.6 | 11.4 | 403.4 | (5.6) | 2.2 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -0.4 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 16.3 | 7.0 | 309.7 | (5.4) | 2.3 | 30.7 | 10.0 | 444.3 | (6.5) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 3-2 | +1.2 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 29.2 | 13.0 | 342.2 | (5.9) | 2.4 | 26.6 | 11.4 | 403.4 | (5.6) | 2.2 | | Conference Games | 3-3 | +0.2 | 3-3 | 5-1 | 24.5 | 10.3 | 315.0 | (5.4) | 2.2 | 27.8 | 10.5 | 427.0 | (5.9) | 2.2 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 23.4 | 10.3 | 15.1 | 27:55 | 31-104 | (3.4) | 16-28 | 55.3% | 212 | (7.5) | 59-316 | (5.3) | (13.5) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 20.2 | 10 | 16.8 | 30:31 | 34-111 | (3.2) | 18-31 | 58.3% | 209 | (6.8) | 65-320 | (4.9) | (15.9) | | Offense Home Games | 29.2 | 13.0 | 14.8 | 28:46 | 31-100 | (3.2) | 16-27 | 60.3% | 243 | (8.9) | 58-342 | (5.9) | (11.7) | | Defense (All Games) | 26.1 | 11.9 | 21.1 | 32:05 | 40-172 | (4.2) | 19-32 | 60.3% | 230 | (7.2) | 72-402 | (5.6) | (15.4) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.9 | 15.7 | 20.2 | 30:29 | 39-170 | (4.3) | 17-29 | 59.6% | 213 | (7.3) | 68-383 | (5.6) | (13.7) | | Defense Home Games | 26.6 | 11.4 | 20.8 | 31:14 | 42-189 | (4.5) | 18-30 | 58.3% | 214 | (7.1) | 72-403 | (5.6) | (15.2) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 36.6, MINNESOTA 41.9 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/12/2009 | ILLINOIS ST | 45-17 | W | -33.5 | L | | - | 46-384 | 13-17-164 | 2 | 20-44 | 31-52-354 | 3 | | 9/26/2009 | @ OHIO ST | 0-30 | L | 14 | L | 50 | U | 34-82 | 15-29-88 | 3 | 46-236 | 8-13-82 | 2 | | 10/3/2009 | PENN ST | 17-35 | L | 8 | L | 48 | O | 35-130 | 20-37-263 | 2 | 40-338 | 17-25-175 | 1 | | 10/10/2009 | MICHIGAN ST | 14-24 | L | 4 | L | 55 | U | 32-132 | 9-28-140 | 1 | 45-193 | 13-25-179 | 2 | | 10/17/2009 | @ INDIANA | 14-27 | L | -3.5 | L | 53.5 | U | 41-185 | 22-37-258 | 3 | 31-149 | 23-40-333 | 1 | | 10/24/2009 | @ PURDUE | 14-24 | L | 10 | T | 55 | U | 37-180 | 14-27-142 | 1 | 39-220 | 15-24-166 | 0 | | 10/31/2009 | MICHIGAN | 38-13 | W | 7 | W | 53.5 | U | 56-377 | 8-11-123 | 0 | 43-113 | 14-24-264 | 3 | | 11/7/2009 | @ MINNESOTA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/14/2009 | NORTHWESTERN | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/27/2009 | @ CINCINNATI | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/5/2009 | FRESNO ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/12/2009 | AIR FORCE | 20-13 | W | -3 | W | 49.5 | U | 24-108 | 20-29-219 | 1 | 66-261 | 10-17-125 | 1 | | 9/19/2009 | CALIFORNIA | 21-35 | L | 13.5 | L | 52.5 | O | 21-37 | 22-34-233 | 4 | 44-163 | 16-25-252 | 1 | | 9/26/2009 | @ NORTHWESTERN | 35-24 | W | -1 | W | 49.5 | O | 42-166 | 15-26-186 | 1 | 29-64 | 32-47-309 | 3 | | 10/3/2009 | WISCONSIN | 28-31 | L | -2.5 | L | 51.5 | O | 28-57 | 16-30-271 | 3 | 49-295 | 16-26-159 | 3 | | 10/10/2009 | PURDUE | 35-20 | W | -3 | W | 51.5 | O | 44-207 | 5-10-74 | 2 | 30-103 | 25-47-299 | 3 | | 10/17/2009 | @ PENN ST | 0-20 | L | 17 | L | 44 | U | 18-37 | 10-22-101 | 1 | 43-177 | 21-32-287 | 0 | | 10/24/2009 | @ OHIO ST | 7-38 | L | 17 | L | 41.5 | O | 30-123 | 15-29-163 | 4 | 49-270 | 13-26-239 | 1 | | 10/31/2009 | MICHIGAN ST | 42-34 | W | 3.5 | W | 45.5 | O | 39-89 | 19-33-416 | 2 | 20-124 | 21-36-236 | 3 | | 11/7/2009 | ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/14/2009 | S DAKOTA ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/21/2009 | @ IOWA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MINNESOTA is 9-4 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992 | | MINNESOTA is 8-5 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992 | | MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 10/11/2008 | MINNESOTA | 27 | 58.5 | SU ATS | 7 | 16 | 29:32 | 34-116 | 19-27 | 196 | 1 | 0 | 6-59 | | | ILLINOIS | 20 | -12 | Under | 3 | 25 | 30:28 | 33-88 | 26-42 | 462 | 2 | 1 | 5-46 | | 11/3/2007 | ILLINOIS | 44 | -11 | SU ATS | 34 | 27 | 30:22 | 50-448 | 14-21 | 207 | 1 | 1 | 6-61 | | | MINNESOTA | 17 | 59 | Over | 10 | 18 | 29:38 | 31-95 | 21-35 | 242 | 0 | 1 | 4-36 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 50.6% of the time since 1992. (80-78) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 57.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-8) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.3% of the time since 1992. (88-77) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-14) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 46.1% of the time since 1992. (47-55) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 55.9% of the time since 1992. (57-45) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18) | |
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| [LB] 09/17/2009 - Martez Wilson out for season ( Neck ) | | [CB] 08/21/2009 - Miami Thomas out for season ( Knee ) | | [WR] 11/05/2009 - Jarred Fayson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Minnesota U ( Ankle ) | | [FS] 11/05/2009 - Donsay Hardeman is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Minnesota U ( Neck ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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