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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| CONNECTICUT | | | | CINCINNATI | -14 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 1-0 | 1-1 | 10-8 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3-15 | | in all games | 6-1 | 20-11 | 61-40 | 4-3 | 16-15 | 25-33 | 4-4 | 21-13 | 62-64 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 5-3 | 14-8 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 10-7 | 1-1 | 5-3 | 11-13 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 0-0 | 2-0 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 12-17 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-1 | 10-9 | 24-18 | 2-1 | 10-9 | 17-16 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 15-28 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15-18 | | in all lined games | 6-1 | 20-11 | 61-40 | 4-3 | 16-15 | 25-33 | 3-4 | 18-13 | 49-53 | | as an underdog | 4-0 | 12-6 | 37-25 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 15-21 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 15-47 | | as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | | as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-10 | | in road games | 4-0 | 10-5 | 32-21 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 12-15 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 21-37 | | in road lined games | 4-0 | 10-5 | 32-21 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 12-15 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 20-33 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3-3 | | in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | | against conference opponents | 3-1 | 12-6 | 24-18 | 3-1 | 9-9 | 16-20 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 17-26 | | when playing on a Saturday | 6-1 | 18-9 | 53-34 | 4-3 | 15-12 | 22-22 | 4-4 | 17-12 | 52-58 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-1 | 12-6 | 40-26 | 4-1 | 12-6 | 18-16 | 3-3 | 14-6 | 43-42 | | after playing a conference game | 2-1 | 9-8 | 21-17 | 3-0 | 11-6 | 16-15 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 16-24 | | in games played on turf | 2-0 | 5-2 | 13-11 | 1-1 | 5-2 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 9-15 | | in November games | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15-18 |
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| as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 2-1 | 5-4 | 11-12 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 3-0 | 8-1 | 20-3 | | in all games | 5-2 | 19-12 | 99-82 | 2-5 | 14-17 | 34-52 | 8-0 | 29-6 | 112-97 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-0 | 6-5 | 27-23 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 11-18 | 3-0 | 10-3 | 33-22 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 4-2 | 11-8 | 26-21 | 1-5 | 8-11 | 12-17 | 6-0 | 16-4 | 33-19 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 31-14 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 31-21 | | in all lined games | 5-2 | 19-12 | 99-82 | 2-5 | 14-17 | 34-52 | 7-0 | 26-6 | 95-90 | | as a favorite | 4-2 | 13-11 | 42-43 | 1-5 | 10-14 | 16-29 | 6-0 | 20-4 | 63-23 | | in home games | 1-1 | 7-4 | 49-34 | 0-2 | 3-9 | 10-25 | 3-0 | 13-2 | 68-34 | | in home lined games | 1-1 | 7-4 | 49-34 | 0-2 | 3-9 | 10-25 | 2-0 | 10-2 | 55-30 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2-10 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 8-4 | | in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-7 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 5-3 | | against conference opponents | 4-0 | 12-5 | 57-47 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 22-25 | 4-0 | 14-4 | 56-50 | | when playing on a Saturday | 3-2 | 13-11 | 84-69 | 0-5 | 11-13 | 25-35 | 6-0 | 21-5 | 94-84 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 2-2 | 11-7 | 66-58 | 0-4 | 5-13 | 18-30 | 5-0 | 17-3 | 72-68 | | after playing a conference game | 2-0 | 9-6 | 52-42 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 19-31 | 3-0 | 13-4 | 61-44 | | in games played on turf | 3-1 | 12-8 | 60-53 | 0-4 | 6-15 | 17-41 | 5-0 | 21-3 | 81-55 | | in November games | 0-0 | 6-1 | 30-16 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 32-21 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 4-4 | -1.2 | 7-1 | 4-3 | 27.7 | 12.7 | 402.2 | (5.7) | 2.4 | 20.6 | 9.0 | 323.0 | (5.1) | 2.2 | | Road Games | 2-2 | +2.2 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 24.5 | 12.7 | 393.0 | (5.5) | 2.2 | 22.5 | 7.7 | 347.2 | (5.6) | 2.2 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -3.3 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 28.7 | 13.7 | 487.7 | (6.4) | 3.0 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 388.7 | (5.8) | 2.0 | | Turf Games | 1-1 | 0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 443.5 | (5.9) | 4.0 | 22.0 | 10.5 | 317.0 | (5) | 2.0 | | Conference Games | 1-3 | -4.3 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 26.7 | 12.0 | 441.5 | (6.3) | 2.5 | 26.2 | 12.7 | 413.7 | (6.1) | 2.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 27.7 | 12.7 | 19.5 | 29:34 | 40-164 | (4) | 18-30 | 57.8% | 238 | (7.8) | 71-402 | (5.7) | (14.5) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 24.8 | 12.1 | 18.6 | 30:09 | 37-136 | (3.7) | 18-31 | 60.2% | 216 | (7.1) | 67-352 | (5.2) | (14.2) | | Offense Road Games | 24.5 | 12.7 | 19.2 | 31:14 | 44-181 | (4.1) | 16-28 | 58.6% | 212 | (7.6) | 71-393 | (5.5) | (16) | | Defense (All Games) | 20.6 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 30:26 | 35-122 | (3.5) | 18-28 | 63.8% | 201 | (7.2) | 63-323 | (5.1) | (15.7) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 24.1 | 13.3 | 16.2 | 30:51 | 35-132 | (3.8) | 17-28 | 59.5% | 196 | (6.9) | 63-328 | (5.2) | (13.6) | | Defense Road Games | 22.5 | 7.7 | 15.7 | 28:46 | 33-166 | (5) | 17-28 | 61.1% | 181 | (6.4) | 61-347 | (5.6) | (15.4) |
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| All Games | 8-0 | +6.8 | 6-2 | 2-5 | 39.1 | 24.6 | 454.0 | (7.1) | 0.5 | 12.9 | 8.2 | 313.2 | (4.4) | 2.1 | | Home Games | 3-0 | +2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 46.3 | 30.3 | 467.7 | (8) | 0.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 298.0 | (4.3) | 2.3 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 34.3 | 17.3 | 430.3 | (6.8) | 0.3 | 11.3 | 8.0 | 311.3 | (4.9) | 2.0 | | Turf Games | 4-0 | +3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 41.7 | 28.0 | 452.7 | (7.3) | 0.2 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 309.5 | (4.3) | 2.0 | | Conference Games | 4-0 | +4.8 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 37.5 | 20.7 | 463.7 | (7.2) | 0.5 | 12.2 | 7.7 | 306.7 | (4.7) | 2.2 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 39.1 | 24.6 | 21.1 | 25:52 | 30-149 | (5) | 23-34 | 66.9% | 305 | (9) | 64-454 | (7.1) | (11.6) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 30.1 | 17.4 | 19.4 | 29:24 | 34-145 | (4.2) | 19-32 | 61.0% | 241 | (7.6) | 66-385 | (5.8) | (12.8) | | Offense Home Games | 46.3 | 30.3 | 20.7 | 24:58 | 31-155 | (5.1) | 20-28 | 72.6% | 312 | (11.2) | 59-468 | (8) | (10.1) | | Defense (All Games) | 12.9 | 8.2 | 18.2 | 34:08 | 37-116 | (3.1) | 21-34 | 61.1% | 197 | (5.8) | 71-313 | (4.4) | (24.3) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 23.1 | 13 | 17.8 | 31:36 | 35-137 | (3.9) | 18-30 | 59.7% | 212 | (7) | 65-349 | (5.3) | (15.1) | | Defense Home Games | 11.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 35:02 | 43-158 | (3.7) | 15-27 | 57.5% | 140 | (5.2) | 70-298 | (4.3) | (27.1) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: CONNECTICUT 34.2, CINCINNATI 31.2 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/12/2009 | N CAROLINA | 10-12 | L | 5.5 | W | 41.5 | U | 35-72 | 14-26-124 | 2 | 38-35 | 23-32-233 | 2 | | 9/19/2009 | @ BAYLOR | 30-22 | W | 10.5 | W | 44.5 | O | 58-235 | 12-23-147 | 0 | 21-147 | 17-27-119 | 3 | | 9/26/2009 | RHODE ISLAND | 52-10 | W | -34.5 | W | | - | 42-199 | 23-30-289 | 3 | 32-29 | 14-23-119 | 3 | | 10/10/2009 | @ PITTSBURGH | 21-24 | L | 6.5 | W | 47.5 | U | 31-106 | 17-23-197 | 1 | 40-221 | 21-31-268 | 2 | | 10/17/2009 | LOUISVILLE | 38-25 | W | -12.5 | W | 47 | O | 42-208 | 14-21-273 | 1 | 47-162 | 24-31-295 | 4 | | 10/24/2009 | @ W VIRGINIA | 24-28 | L | 8 | W | 47 | O | 37-123 | 25-41-378 | 4 | 40-234 | 16-27-153 | 2 | | 10/31/2009 | RUTGERS | 24-28 | L | -7.5 | L | 44 | O | 30-108 | 25-56-373 | 4 | 31-86 | 13-25-236 | 0 | | 11/7/2009 | @ CINCINNATI | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/21/2009 | @ NOTRE DAME | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/28/2009 | SYRACUSE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/5/2009 | S FLORIDA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/12/2009 | SE MISSOURI ST | 70-3 | W | -47 | W | | - | 42-227 | 24-35-351 | 0 | 32-54 | 16-28-122 | 4 | | 9/19/2009 | @ OREGON ST | 28-18 | W | -1 | W | 57.5 | U | 23-76 | 31-49-332 | 1 | 36-104 | 29-45-240 | 1 | | 9/26/2009 | FRESNO ST | 28-20 | W | -17 | L | 63.5 | U | 16-57 | 18-26-300 | 0 | 57-290 | 16-27-153 | 1 | | 10/3/2009 | @ MIAMI OHIO | 37-13 | W | -29.5 | L | 59 | U | 19-164 | 23-42-270 | 1 | 35-30 | 33-47-286 | 2 | | 10/15/2009 | @ S FLORIDA | 34-17 | W | -1 | W | 48.5 | O | 37-189 | 16-32-212 | 1 | 36-168 | 15-34-208 | 2 | | 10/24/2009 | LOUISVILLE | 41-10 | W | -16.5 | W | 54.5 | U | 34-182 | 19-23-286 | 0 | 40-130 | 14-25-145 | 2 | | 10/31/2009 | @ SYRACUSE | 28-7 | W | -15.5 | W | 52 | U | 34-127 | 22-29-295 | 0 | 29-101 | 19-27-182 | 2 | | 11/7/2009 | CONNECTICUT | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/13/2009 | W VIRGINIA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/27/2009 | ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/5/2009 | @ PITTSBURGH | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| CONNECTICUT is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 | | CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1992 | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| CINCINNATI is 2-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1992 | | CINCINNATI is 3-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1992 | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 10/25/2008 | CINCINNATI | 16 | -2.5 | Over | 13 | 16 | 25:47 | 19-30 | 19-47 | 259 | 3 | 3 | 5-38 | | | CONNECTICUT | 40 | 44 | SU ATS | 10 | 15 | 34:13 | 36-153 | 18-42 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 8-73 | | 11/10/2007 | CONNECTICUT | 3 | 51 | Under | 3 | 11 | 25:24 | 22-22 | 18-37 | 182 | 0 | 1 | 5-50 | | | CINCINNATI | 27 | -7 | SU ATS | 13 | 18 | 34:36 | 39-144 | 21-33 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 10-105 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 52.1% of the time since 1992. (50-46) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 54.1% of the time since 1992. (80-68) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-11) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 52.9% of the time since 1992. (27-24) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 40.8% of the time since 1992. (29-42) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 36% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-16) | |
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| [TE] 08/25/2009 - Yianni Apostalakos out for season ( Hip ) | | [OT] 10/10/2009 - Jimmy Bennett out for season ( Knee ) | | [DT] 11/02/2009 - Beau Brunelli is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Knee ) | | [S] 09/07/2009 - John Yurek out for season ( Knee ) | | [LB] 10/12/2009 - Kijuan Dabney out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [LB] 11/02/2009 - Sio Moore is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Ankle ) | | [QB] 11/01/2009 - Cody Endres out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [RB] 11/03/2009 - Robbie Frey out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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