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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 5-4 | 20-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9-24 | | in all games | 3-5 | 11-19 | 54-68 | 4-4 | 15-15 | 23-31 | 0-8 | 7-25 | 56-144 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 8-11 | 46-42 | 2-2 | 11-8 | 15-21 | 0-4 | 5-14 | 46-95 | | when playing on a Thursday | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-4 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-3 | 9-15 | 44-53 | 4-2 | 14-10 | 19-23 | 0-6 | 5-20 | 43-114 | | in games played on turf | 1-4 | 5-15 | 32-40 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 14-23 | 0-5 | 6-16 | 23-66 | | in November games | 0-0 | 3-3 | 19-18 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17-36 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 2-4 | 9-9 | 31-33 | 4-2 | 9-9 | 13-18 | 0-6 | 5-13 | 25-72 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-1 | 4-6 | 15-16 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 5-42 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 16-37 | | in all lined games | 3-5 | 11-19 | 54-68 | 4-4 | 15-15 | 23-31 | 0-8 | 5-25 | 28-96 | | as an underdog | 3-4 | 11-17 | 48-57 | 4-3 | 14-14 | 21-27 | 0-7 | 5-23 | 18-88 | | as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1-9 | | as a road underdog of 17.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1-5 | | in road games | 2-2 | 8-10 | 32-38 | 3-1 | 9-9 | 14-17 | 0-4 | 3-15 | 21-85 | | in road lined games | 2-2 | 8-10 | 32-38 | 3-1 | 9-9 | 14-17 | 0-4 | 3-15 | 10-61 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-3 | | in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 1-9 |
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| as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 1-1 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 19-6 | | in all games | 4-3 | 15-15 | 70-54 | 2-5 | 9-21 | 20-41 | 5-3 | 13-20 | 88-112 | | against conference opponents | 2-2 | 9-10 | 48-40 | 1-3 | 6-13 | 13-26 | 3-1 | 9-10 | 66-51 | | when playing on a Thursday | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-7 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-2 | 12-11 | 50-37 | 2-3 | 7-16 | 15-24 | 5-1 | 11-14 | 67-76 | | after playing a conference game | 1-2 | 8-8 | 45-39 | 1-2 | 5-11 | 11-25 | 2-1 | 8-9 | 58-57 | | in games played on turf | 3-2 | 11-12 | 39-35 | 1-4 | 6-17 | 13-29 | 3-3 | 11-15 | 53-44 | | in November games | 0-0 | 4-3 | 17-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 19-29 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-1 | 4-4 | 28-24 | 0-2 | 1-7 | 5-16 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 34-20 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 0-1 | 1-3 | 19-20 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 26-18 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-1 | 8-6 | 31-21 | 1-1 | 4-10 | 6-15 | 2-0 | 9-5 | 44-29 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 19-28 | | in all lined games | 4-3 | 15-15 | 70-54 | 2-5 | 9-21 | 20-41 | 4-3 | 11-19 | 65-61 | | as a favorite | 2-3 | 5-9 | 34-32 | 2-3 | 4-10 | 12-21 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 50-17 | | in home games | 2-1 | 6-6 | 29-23 | 1-2 | 2-10 | 5-20 | 3-1 | 8-7 | 54-39 | | in home lined games | 2-1 | 6-6 | 29-23 | 1-2 | 2-10 | 5-20 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 36-17 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | | in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4-4 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 0-8 | -4.8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 16.9 | 6.5 | 276.0 | (4.4) | 1.5 | 37.4 | 22.9 | 423.1 | (6.8) | 1.9 | | Road Games | 0-4 | 0 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 302.0 | (4.8) | 1.2 | 47.7 | 30.5 | 475.2 | (7.7) | 2.0 | | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -2 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 20.0 | 8.7 | 281.7 | (4.9) | 1.0 | 40.0 | 23.0 | 466.7 | (7.4) | 2.7 | | Turf Games | 0-5 | -4.8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 13.4 | 6.4 | 251.0 | (4) | 1.4 | 32.8 | 19.2 | 401.0 | (6.5) | 1.4 | | Conference Games | 0-4 | -3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 13.2 | 8.0 | 258.0 | (4.1) | 1.0 | 34.2 | 20.7 | 424.2 | (6.6) | 1.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 16.9 | 6.5 | 14.5 | 31:49 | 35-124 | (3.6) | 16-28 | 56.5% | 152 | (5.4) | 62-276 | (4.4) | (16.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 23.3 | 11.2 | 18.2 | 30:30 | 36-132 | (3.7) | 19-31 | 59.9% | 220 | (7.1) | 67-352 | (5.3) | (15.1) | | Offense Road Games | 19.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 34:09 | 35-142 | (4) | 16-28 | 58.0% | 160 | (5.7) | 63-302 | (4.8) | (15.9) | | Defense (All Games) | 37.4 | 22.9 | 19.7 | 28:11 | 43-277 | (6.4) | 10-18 | 54.1% | 146 | (7.9) | 62-423 | (6.8) | (11.3) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.1 | 14.5 | 18.9 | 30:30 | 39-164 | (4.3) | 16-28 | 57.3% | 193 | (6.9) | 67-358 | (5.4) | (13.7) | | Defense Road Games | 47.7 | 30.5 | 22.0 | 25:51 | 39-265 | (6.8) | 14-22 | 62.2% | 210 | (9.3) | 61-475 | (7.7) | (10) |
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| All Games | 5-3 | -3.8 | 5-3 | 2-5 | 28.9 | 14.7 | 343.1 | (5.4) | 0.7 | 18.1 | 9.1 | 334.7 | (5.6) | 2.0 | | Home Games | 3-1 | -4.4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 34.2 | 17.0 | 358.5 | (5.7) | 0.2 | 13.5 | 7.7 | 296.5 | (5) | 1.7 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | -1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 24.3 | 9.7 | 306.7 | (5) | 0.7 | 17.3 | 7.0 | 319.7 | (5.4) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 3-3 | -8.4 | 4-2 | 1-4 | 29.3 | 13.3 | 338.2 | (5.5) | 0.5 | 17.0 | 9.8 | 334.3 | (5.6) | 2.2 | | Conference Games | 3-1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 27.7 | 12.5 | 327.5 | (5.3) | 0.5 | 13.7 | 6.0 | 302.5 | (5.1) | 2.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 28.9 | 14.7 | 18.4 | 32:06 | 43-206 | (4.8) | 12-20 | 60.9% | 137 | (6.8) | 63-343 | (5.4) | (11.9) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 30.8 | 16.7 | 20.3 | 30:51 | 38-174 | (4.6) | 17-30 | 58.2% | 208 | (7) | 67-382 | (5.7) | (12.4) | | Offense Home Games | 34.2 | 17.0 | 19.0 | 31:52 | 44-225 | (5.2) | 12-19 | 62.7% | 133 | (7.1) | 62-358 | (5.7) | (10.5) | | Defense (All Games) | 18.1 | 9.1 | 18.0 | 27:53 | 30-105 | (3.5) | 19-30 | 62.9% | 230 | (7.7) | 60-335 | (5.6) | (18.5) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 22.2 | 12 | 19.3 | 30:09 | 33-123 | (3.8) | 21-35 | 59.7% | 234 | (6.7) | 67-357 | (5.3) | (16) | | Defense Home Games | 13.5 | 7.7 | 16.7 | 28:07 | 30-98 | (3.3) | 17-29 | 56.8% | 198 | (6.7) | 59-296 | (5) | (22) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: E MICHIGAN 32.6, N ILLINOIS 23.2 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/12/2009 | @ NORTHWESTERN | 24-27 | L | 22 | W | 51.5 | U | 32-172 | 20-28-148 | 2 | 48-185 | 14-24-158 | 3 | | 9/19/2009 | @ MICHIGAN | 17-45 | L | 24 | L | 54.5 | O | 48-179 | 15-26-106 | 2 | 39-380 | 7-17-68 | 2 | | 10/3/2009 | TEMPLE | 12-24 | L | 6.5 | L | 44.5 | U | 29-50 | 25-37-230 | 2 | 44-242 | 9-18-123 | 1 | | 10/10/2009 | @ C MICHIGAN | 8-56 | L | 24 | L | 54 | O | 34-128 | 17-32-127 | 0 | 39-203 | 16-22-318 | 0 | | 10/17/2009 | KENT ST | 6-28 | L | 6.5 | L | 49 | U | 44-183 | 10-19-75 | 2 | 41-152 | 11-25-195 | 2 | | 10/24/2009 | BALL ST | 27-29 | L | 2.5 | W | 44 | O | 33-153 | 8-24-86 | 0 | 57-463 | 2-10-1 | 3 | | 10/31/2009 | @ ARKANSAS | 27-63 | L | 37 | W | 60 | O | 28-89 | 13-26-259 | 1 | 30-292 | 19-27-297 | 3 | | 11/5/2009 | @ N ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/14/2009 | W MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/20/2009 | @ TOLEDO | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/27/2009 | @ AKRON | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/12/2009 | W ILLINOIS | 41-7 | W | -13.5 | W | | - | 41-244 | 11-18-151 | 1 | 29-82 | 18-30-141 | 2 | | 9/19/2009 | @ PURDUE | 28-21 | W | 12 | W | 52.5 | U | 57-280 | 15-26-174 | 2 | 23-147 | 20-33-188 | 3 | | 9/26/2009 | IDAHO | 31-34 | L | -14 | L | 54.5 | O | 30-128 | 17-24-184 | 0 | 44-207 | 18-23-270 | 0 | | 10/3/2009 | W MICHIGAN | 38-3 | W | -6 | W | 49 | U | 50-255 | 9-15-135 | 0 | 23-73 | 19-37-178 | 4 | | 10/17/2009 | @ TOLEDO | 19-20 | L | -7 | L | 60.5 | U | 37-164 | 15-26-157 | 1 | 34-157 | 19-26-230 | 3 | | 10/24/2009 | @ MIAMI OHIO | 27-22 | W | -10 | L | 45 | O | 39-202 | 6-10-60 | 1 | 27--11 | 27-38-348 | 0 | | 10/31/2009 | AKRON | 27-10 | W | -12 | W | 41 | U | 54-275 | 10-18-62 | 0 | 24-31 | 12-28-204 | 1 | | 11/5/2009 | E MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/12/2009 | BALL ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/21/2009 | @ OHIO U | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/27/2009 | @ C MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| N ILLINOIS is 6-5 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN since 1992 | | N ILLINOIS is 9-3 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1992 | | 4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| E MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS since 1992 | | N ILLINOIS is 4-2 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1992 | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | E MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 9/27/2008 | N ILLINOIS | 37 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 21 | 21 | 31:59 | 43-235 | 13-17 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 5-50 | | | E MICHIGAN | 0 | 51 | Under | 0 | 19 | 28:01 | 33-119 | 21-39 | 140 | 0 | 2 | 3-28 | | 9/15/2007 | E MICHIGAN | 21 | 44 | SU ATS | 7 | 18 | 33:17 | 41-189 | 16-24 | 189 | 0 | 0 | 5-40 | | | N ILLINOIS | 19 | -12.5 | Under | 13 | 19 | 26:43 | 36-184 | 20-28 | 160 | 0 | 1 | 6-60 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 52.7% of the time since 1992. (58-52) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 47.2% of the time since 1992. (51-57) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in E MICHIGAN games 59.6% of the time since 1992. (28-19) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in E MICHIGAN games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N ILLINOIS games 49.1% of the time since 1992. (27-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N ILLINOIS games 41.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-17) | |
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| [QB] 09/27/2009 - Andy Schmitt out for season ( Knee ) | | [DB] 10/08/2009 - Ryan Downard out for season ( Arm ) | | [P] 11/02/2009 - Zach Johnson "?" Thursday vs. No Illinois ( Leg ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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